March Update: Uploads Behind Schedule, Still Recording Weekly

The new year has been a very busy one for the whole Life’s a Gamble crew.  So much so that we need a dedicated update for everybody.  First and foremost, episodes are still being recorded weekly at Derby Lane.  It’s only the editing that has fallen behind.  As it stands right now we have about a 6 episode backlog.  The next few episodes will probably be pushed through with limited editing to catch us up.  It’s my dream to be able to upload every new episode on Sunday or Monday after we record it, but that’s a ways off.

I (Dan) have had a ton of computer work this year, and while that’s good for my prospects to buy a house, it slows down how quickly I can edit episodes.  Tony and I also spend half a day each week at WZIG doing our weekly show there.  Since on the radio, we’re mostly betting UFC, I watch every single MMA fight from UFC/ONE/Bellator as they come out.  That and editing is usually where my one day off per week goes.  I’ve also been using some of my off time to try and find an office that we could use as a studio but so far everything is either to expensive, or just not the right fit.

Even though the last thing I have is free time, I’ve also started picking up litter from the side of the road around where I live.  It’s easy to fit in between jobs and the shit I’ve been seeing on the side of the road drives me crazy.  Tony is helping me build a rig for my back so I’ll be able to carry much more trash at once.  Right now I’m driving around, parking and walking until my hands are full.  It’s amazing how much stuff gets thrown out of people’s cars daily.  The biggest thing is alcohol.  Beer cans, medium sized vodka bottles and tons of those little shooters.  I promise to get caught up on the editing before litter removal takes over too much of my life.

Tony has been busy at work.  The money’s been good but the online casino hit hard and the real casino hit harder.  But still, Tony is a grinder.  I don’t think his tax refund has hit yet.  That’s nearly a holiday every year around here.  Each year he gets a huge check and feels obligated to waste it.  Each year I explain that he should have his employers withhold less.  All to no avail.  He’s got a vacation coming up for his anniversary with Kristen.  They’re touring the Blue Ridge Parkway.  I’m not sure if this is a good time of the year for it but I assume Kristen came up with it because it’s cheap.  The real debate I’m having is whether they’ll sack up and pay the $110 it costs to get inside the Biltmore.  I say “no way Jose!”  They’ll look at it from the outside, see as much as they can for free, and move on.  Last I heard, it was undecided.  Tony promises they’ll go in.  He just doesn’t want to get ragged on, but it’s not his decision.  He’s a good egg.  He’s doing the sawing on my backpack trashcan as we speak.

Medicated Matt has won like $8,000 from the lottery since the new year.  Which we’re all pretty happy about because no one deserves it more.  Matt’s been a good friend of mine for the last 15 years and has been a regular on the podcast for the last few months.  Ever since we brought him to the dog track he was hooked.  Matt was the first of our friends to ever play at one of the local poker rooms because his fall birthday meant he was first to turn 18.  As you’ve also learned by now, he’s hooked on the scratch offs.  He won $10,000 on one ticket at the end of last year and $5,000 on one ticket in January.  Through Matt we learned the process you have to go through if you win the lottery in any amount over $600.  You have to go to a regional office in Tampa and they take out at least 25% in taxes right off the top.  Matt has also been doing a lot of damage on the WAR tables at the Derby Lane Poker Room.  Occasionally playing high card flush.  Expect Matt to keep winning, because his Karma is through the roof.

So in summary, all hands are on deck.  Everyone is busy.  Everyone is making money.  Everyone is making bets.  Everyone is working hard.  We’re still recording episodes the way we always have.  If you see a delay in uploaded episodes, don’t worry, I will catch up.  Tony and I are on the air every weekend on WZIG with a new bet.  Check out our Profitable Predictions Report on 104.1 FM or WZIG.org.  Weekends at 10am / 12pm / 2pm / 4pm / 6pm

UFC 232: Steroids vs People Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC 232: Jones vs Gustafsson.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

*A Word on the main event: It is overwhelmingly likely that Jon Jones has been on steroids nearly every day for at least the last five years.  The UFC sanctioning this fight clearly means they needs him to win at all costs.  He will be allowed to poke eyes.  He will be allowed to throw low blows.  He will be allowed to grab the cage and Gus’ gear.  If the fight goes to the judges he will steal a unanimous decision.  If he lands more than a few strikes in a row the ref will stop the fight.  With all that said Jones is a real sack of garbage and we will hope against hope that he loses, however unlikely.

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson – Jones won by TKO in the 3rd Round.  The UFC called this a Knockout because they are insane.  Jones resorted to a low blow in the first minute.  Jones’ poked Gus’ eye 2:30 into the first round, all of the commentators described it as a “beautiful elbow”.
  • Cris Cyborg vs. Amanda Nunes – Nunes won by KO in the 1st Round.
  • Michael Chiesa vs. Carlos Condit –  Chiesa won by Submission in the 2nd Round.
  • Corey Anderson vs. Ilir Latifi – Anderson won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Chad Mendes vs. Alex Volkanovski – Volkanovski won by TKO in the 2nd round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Andrei Arlovski vs. Walt Harris – Harris won by Split Decision.
  • Megan Anderson vs. Cat Zingano – Anderson won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Petr Yan – Yan won by TKO after the 2nd Round.  Corner retirement.
  • Ryan Hall vs. B.J. Penn – Hall won by Submission in the 1st Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:15 PM EST)

  • Andre Ewell vs. Nathaniel Wood – Wood won by Submission in the 3rd Round.
  • Uriah Hall vs. Bevon Lewis – Hall won by KO in the 3rd Round.
  • Siyar Bahadurzada vs. Curtis Millender – Millender won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Montel Jackson vs. Brian Kelleher – Jackson won by Submission in the 1st Round.

Total 6/12 = 50%

UFC Milwaukee Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Milwaukee: Lee vs Iaquinta.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FOX, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Kevin Lee vs. Al Iaquinta – Iaquinta won a deserved Unanimous Decision.  I figured UFC would throw the kitchen sink against Al because he is the treasurer of the proposed UFC union.  Glad he won.
  • Edson Barboza vs. Dan Hooker – Barboza won by KO in the 3rd Round.
  • Rob Font vs. Sergio Pettis – Font won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jim Miller vs. Charles Oliveira – Oliveira won by Submission in the 1st Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 5:00 PM EST)

  • Dwight Grant vs. Zak Ottow – Ottow won by Split Decision.
  • Bobby Green vs. Drakkar Klose – Klose won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jared Gordon vs. Joaquim Silva – Silva won by KO in the 3rd Round.
  • Jack Hermansson vs. Gerald Meerschaert – Hermansson won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Jordan Griffin vs. Dan Ige – Ige won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FightPass, 3:30 PM EST)

  • Dan screwed up and did the quick picks at 4:00 pm EST, missing the first fights.

Total – 5/9 = 55.56%

UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega – Holloway won by Doctors Stoppage between the 4th and 5th Rounds.
  • Valentina Shevchenko vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk – Shevchenko won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Gunnar Nelson vs. Alex Oliveira – Nelson won by Submission in the 2nd Round.
  • Kyle Bochniak vs. Hakeem Dawodu – Dawodu won by Split Decision.  Even though it was clearly 30-27 Dawodu.
  • Jimi Manuwa vs. Thiago Santos – Santos won by KO in the 2nd Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Nina Ansaroff vs. Claudia Gadelha – Ansaroff won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Gilbert Burns – Burns won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Katlyn Chookagian vs. Jessica Eye – Eye won by Split Decision.
  • Eryk Anders vs. Elias Theodorou – Theodorou won by Split Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:00 PM EST)

  • Brad Katona vs. Matthew Lopez – Katona won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Chad Laprise vs. Dhiego Lima – Lima won by KO in the 1st Round.
  • Diego Ferreira vs. Kyle Nelson – Ferreira won by TKO in the 2nd Round.
  • Devin Clark vs. Aleksandar Rakic – Rakic won by TKO in the 1st Round.

Total – 8/13 = 61.54%

DAZN engaged in credit card fraud!

Attention!  If you have DAZN, check your credit card statements and then cancel your subscriptions regardless of what you find.  DAZN is pretending that they have to charge sales tax and what’s worse is they are charging double the actual rate.  Let me give you the specific figures.  I signed up for DAZN ~2 months ago.  Went through the free trial and was recently charged for the first time.  I have emails confirming that I would be charged $9.99 per month like everyone else, after they had my Florida billing address.  After the free month I was billed $11.31.  I confirmed that I had signed up for 9.99 per month and had never gotten any notice of an increase so I wrote to them asking for an explanation.

Someone from DAZN contacted me and blamed the state of Florida.  This person claimed Florida was one of six states that require the state sales tax be assessed on streaming services.  There are two huge problems with this.  Number one, no other streaming site in the world charges sales tax.  Sales tax on streaming was a lie made up by DAZN to nickel and dime more money out of every customer.  Problem number two, Florida sales tax is 6%.  Many counties including the one I live in, charge another 1% of their own.  $11.31-$9.99 means I was over charged by $1.32.  $1.32 / $9.99 = 13.21% that DAZN charged me supposedly for Florida’s sales tax.  Who wants to bet that when I call the state on Monday that DAZN has never paid sales tax in Florida.  I completely guarantee it.

So we have two huge problems.  First I have a piece of paper that says my credit card would be charged $9.99.  My credit card was charged $11.31.  That’s credit card fraud.  Then we have a company charging double the states tax rate and putting it all in their own pocket.  That’s a whole separate felony.  I’m sure some people will say “Dan it’s only a dollar and change….” A company that would knowingly overcharge you a penny CAN NOT be trusted with your credit card.  I’ll live without the dollar, but what would I do if DAZN decided to charge me 50 grand?  Don’t take a chance with these scum bags.  Cancel your subscriptions today and check your credit card statement.  If you were charged more than $9.99 for a month, call your credit card company and report it as fraud.

I’m taking bets that the Florida Department of Revenue has never heard of DAZN or their parent company.  There is a 0% chance this scam has ever paid tax in the United States.

UFC Fight Night Adelaide Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Adelaide.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Junior Dos Santos vs. Tai Tuivasa – Dos Santos won by in the TKO 2nd Round.
  • Tyson Pedro vs. Mauricio Rua – Rua won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Mark Hunt vs. Justin Willis – Willis won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Tony Martin vs. Jake Matthews – Martin won by Submission in the 3rd Round.
  • Suman Mokhtarian vs. Sodiq Yusuff – Yusuff won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Paul Craig vs. Jim Crute – Crute won by Submission in the 3rd Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Alexey Kunchenko vs. Yushin Okami – Kunchenko won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Ben Nguyen vs. Wilson Reis – Reis won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Keita Nakamura vs. Salim Touahri – Nakamura won by Split Decision.
  • Kai Kara France vs. Elias Garcia – Kara France won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Christos Giagos vs. Mizuto Hirota – Giagos won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Alex Gorgees vs. Damir Ismagulov – Ismagulov won by Unanimous Decision.

Total – 9/12 = 75%

UFC Fight Night Beijing Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Beijing.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 AM EST)

  • Curtis Blaydes vs. Francis Ngannou – Ngannou won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Alistair Overeem vs. Sergey Pavlovich – Overeem won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Li Jingliang vs. David Zawada – Jingliang won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Vincent Morales vs. Song Yadong – Yadong won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 3:15 AM EST)

  • Alex Morono vs. Song Kenan – Morono won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Lauren Mueller vs. Wu Yanan – Yanan won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Rashad Coulter vs. Hu Yaozong – Coulter won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jessica Aguilar vs. Weili Zhang – Zhang won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Martin Day vs. Liu Pingyuan – Pingyuan stole a Split Decision.
  • Syuri Kondo vs. Yan Xiaonan – Xiaonan won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Kevin Holland vs. John Phillips – Holland won by Submission in the 3rd Round.
  • Louis Smolka vs. Sumudaerji Sumudaerji – Smolka won by Submission in the 2nd Round.

Total 8/12 = 66.6%

UFC Fight Night Argentina Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Argentina.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio – Ponzinibbio won by Knockout in the 4th Round.
  • Darren Elkins vs. Ricardo Lamas – Lamas won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Khalil Rountree vs. Johnny Walker – Walker won by KO in the 1st Round.
  • Cezar Ferreira vs. Ian Heinisch – Heinisch won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Guido Cannetti vs. Marlon Vera – Vera won by Submission in the 2nd Round.
  • Poliana Botelho vs. Cynthia Calvillo – Calvillo won by Submission in the 1st Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Bartosz Fabinski vs. Michel Prazeres – Prazeres won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Alexandre Pantoja vs. Ulka Sasaki – Pantoja won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Austin Arnett vs. Humberto Bandenay Arnett won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Hector Aldana vs. Laureano Staropoli – Staropoli won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Jesus Pinedo vs. Devin Powell – Pinedo won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Anderson dos Santos vs. Nad Narimani – Narimani won by Unanimous Decision.

Total 6/12 = 50%

What Should We Do Next? The World’s Biggest Poll

So Amendments 3 & 13 both passed, curtailing some future gambling in Florida.  This hurts us personally and professionally.  We fought hard and lost but we’re not quitters, the podcast will continue on indefinitely.  We want to hear from you all what our next venture should be in addition to the podcast and the radio.  None of the ideas are exclusive to each other so multiple votes are allowed.  If you have more than one thing you think we should try, just vote again.  We’ll leave this huge poll sitting out there for a while, until we figure out our next move.  If you have an idea that’s not listed send us an email to lifesagamble727@gmail.com.

UFC Fight Night Denver: Korean Zombie vs Yair Rodriguez Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Denver.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Chan Sung Jung vs. Yair Rodriguez – Rodriguez won by Knockout in the 5th round.
  • Donald Cerrone vs. Mike Perry – Cerrone won by Submission in the 1st round.
  • Germaine de Randamie vs. Raquel Pennington – de Randamie won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Beneil Dariush vs. Thiago Moises – Dariush won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Maycee Barber vs. Hannah Cifers – Barber won by TKO in the 2nd round.
  • Luis Pena vs. Mike Trizano – Trizano won by Split Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Amanda Cooper vs. Ashley Yoder – Yoder won by sketchy Split Decision.
  • Bobby Moffett vs. Chas Skelly – Moffett won by the referee missing his shift at Arby’s.  Tim Mills should never work in any capacity again.
  • John Gunther vs. Davi Ramos – Ramos won by Submission in the 1st round.
  • Julian Erosa vs. Devonte Smith – Smith won by KO in the 1st round.

EARLY PRELIMS (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Joseph Morales vs. Eric Shelton – Shelton won by Split Decision.
  • Mark De La Rosa vs. Joby Sanchez – De La Rosa won by Split Decision.

Total 9/12 = 75%