UFC Milwaukee Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Milwaukee: Lee vs Iaquinta.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FOX, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Kevin Lee vs. Al Iaquinta – Iaquinta won a deserved Unanimous Decision.  I figured UFC would throw the kitchen sink against Al because he is the treasurer of the proposed UFC union.  Glad he won.
  • Edson Barboza vs. Dan Hooker – Barboza won by KO in the 3rd Round.
  • Rob Font vs. Sergio Pettis – Font won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jim Miller vs. Charles Oliveira – Oliveira won by Submission in the 1st Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 5:00 PM EST)

  • Dwight Grant vs. Zak Ottow – Ottow won by Split Decision.
  • Bobby Green vs. Drakkar Klose – Klose won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jared Gordon vs. Joaquim Silva – Silva won by KO in the 3rd Round.
  • Jack Hermansson vs. Gerald Meerschaert – Hermansson won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Jordan Griffin vs. Dan Ige – Ige won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FightPass, 3:30 PM EST)

  • Dan screwed up and did the quick picks at 4:00 pm EST, missing the first fights.

Total – 5/9 = 55.56%

UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega – Holloway won by Doctors Stoppage between the 4th and 5th Rounds.
  • Valentina Shevchenko vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk – Shevchenko won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Gunnar Nelson vs. Alex Oliveira – Nelson won by Submission in the 2nd Round.
  • Kyle Bochniak vs. Hakeem Dawodu – Dawodu won by Split Decision.  Even though it was clearly 30-27 Dawodu.
  • Jimi Manuwa vs. Thiago Santos – Santos won by KO in the 2nd Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Nina Ansaroff vs. Claudia Gadelha – Ansaroff won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Gilbert Burns – Burns won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Katlyn Chookagian vs. Jessica Eye – Eye won by Split Decision.
  • Eryk Anders vs. Elias Theodorou – Theodorou won by Split Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:00 PM EST)

  • Brad Katona vs. Matthew Lopez – Katona won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Chad Laprise vs. Dhiego Lima – Lima won by KO in the 1st Round.
  • Diego Ferreira vs. Kyle Nelson – Ferreira won by TKO in the 2nd Round.
  • Devin Clark vs. Aleksandar Rakic – Rakic won by TKO in the 1st Round.

Total – 8/13 = 61.54%

DAZN engaged in credit card fraud!

Attention!  If you have DAZN, check your credit card statements and then cancel your subscriptions regardless of what you find.  DAZN is pretending that they have to charge sales tax and what’s worse is they are charging double the actual rate.  Let me give you the specific figures.  I signed up for DAZN ~2 months ago.  Went through the free trial and was recently charged for the first time.  I have emails confirming that I would be charged $9.99 per month like everyone else, after they had my Florida billing address.  After the free month I was billed $11.31.  I confirmed that I had signed up for 9.99 per month and had never gotten any notice of an increase so I wrote to them asking for an explanation.

Someone from DAZN contacted me and blamed the state of Florida.  This person claimed Florida was one of six states that require the state sales tax be assessed on streaming services.  There are two huge problems with this.  Number one, no other streaming site in the world charges sales tax.  Sales tax on streaming was a lie made up by DAZN to nickel and dime more money out of every customer.  Problem number two, Florida sales tax is 6%.  Many counties including the one I live in, charge another 1% of their own.  $11.31-$9.99 means I was over charged by $1.32.  $1.32 / $9.99 = 13.21% that DAZN charged me supposedly for Florida’s sales tax.  Who wants to bet that when I call the state on Monday that DAZN has never paid sales tax in Florida.  I completely guarantee it.

So we have two huge problems.  First I have a piece of paper that says my credit card would be charged $9.99.  My credit card was charged $11.31.  That’s credit card fraud.  Then we have a company charging double the states tax rate and putting it all in their own pocket.  That’s a whole separate felony.  I’m sure some people will say “Dan it’s only a dollar and change….” A company that would knowingly overcharge you a penny CAN NOT be trusted with your credit card.  I’ll live without the dollar, but what would I do if DAZN decided to charge me 50 grand?  Don’t take a chance with these scum bags.  Cancel your subscriptions today and check your credit card statement.  If you were charged more than $9.99 for a month, call your credit card company and report it as fraud.

I’m taking bets that the Florida Department of Revenue has never heard of DAZN or their parent company.  There is a 0% chance this scam has ever paid tax in the United States.

UFC Fight Night Adelaide Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Adelaide.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Junior Dos Santos vs. Tai Tuivasa – Dos Santos won by in the TKO 2nd Round.
  • Tyson Pedro vs. Mauricio Rua – Rua won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Mark Hunt vs. Justin Willis – Willis won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Tony Martin vs. Jake Matthews – Martin won by Submission in the 3rd Round.
  • Suman Mokhtarian vs. Sodiq Yusuff – Yusuff won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Paul Craig vs. Jim Crute – Crute won by Submission in the 3rd Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Alexey Kunchenko vs. Yushin Okami – Kunchenko won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Ben Nguyen vs. Wilson Reis – Reis won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Keita Nakamura vs. Salim Touahri – Nakamura won by Split Decision.
  • Kai Kara France vs. Elias Garcia – Kara France won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Christos Giagos vs. Mizuto Hirota – Giagos won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Alex Gorgees vs. Damir Ismagulov – Ismagulov won by Unanimous Decision.

Total – 9/12 = 75%

UFC Fight Night Beijing Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Beijing.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 AM EST)

  • Curtis Blaydes vs. Francis Ngannou – Ngannou won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Alistair Overeem vs. Sergey Pavlovich – Overeem won by TKO in the 1st Round.
  • Li Jingliang vs. David Zawada – Jingliang won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Vincent Morales vs. Song Yadong – Yadong won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 3:15 AM EST)

  • Alex Morono vs. Song Kenan – Morono won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Lauren Mueller vs. Wu Yanan – Yanan won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Rashad Coulter vs. Hu Yaozong – Coulter won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Jessica Aguilar vs. Weili Zhang – Zhang won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Martin Day vs. Liu Pingyuan – Pingyuan stole a Split Decision.
  • Syuri Kondo vs. Yan Xiaonan – Xiaonan won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Kevin Holland vs. John Phillips – Holland won by Submission in the 3rd Round.
  • Louis Smolka vs. Sumudaerji Sumudaerji – Smolka won by Submission in the 2nd Round.

Total 8/12 = 66.6%

UFC Fight Night Argentina Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Argentina.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Neil Magny vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio – Ponzinibbio won by Knockout in the 4th Round.
  • Darren Elkins vs. Ricardo Lamas – Lamas won by TKO in the 3rd Round.
  • Khalil Rountree vs. Johnny Walker – Walker won by KO in the 1st Round.
  • Cezar Ferreira vs. Ian Heinisch – Heinisch won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Guido Cannetti vs. Marlon Vera – Vera won by Submission in the 2nd Round.
  • Poliana Botelho vs. Cynthia Calvillo – Calvillo won by Submission in the 1st Round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Bartosz Fabinski vs. Michel Prazeres – Prazeres won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Alexandre Pantoja vs. Ulka Sasaki – Pantoja won by Submission in the 1st Round.
  • Austin Arnett vs. Humberto Bandenay Arnett won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Hector Aldana vs. Laureano Staropoli – Staropoli won by Unanimous Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Jesus Pinedo vs. Devin Powell – Pinedo won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Anderson dos Santos vs. Nad Narimani – Narimani won by Unanimous Decision.

Total 6/12 = 50%

What Should We Do Next? The World’s Biggest Poll

So Amendments 3 & 13 both passed, curtailing some future gambling in Florida.  This hurts us personally and professionally.  We fought hard and lost but we’re not quitters, the podcast will continue on indefinitely.  We want to hear from you all what our next venture should be in addition to the podcast and the radio.  None of the ideas are exclusive to each other so multiple votes are allowed.  If you have more than one thing you think we should try, just vote again.  We’ll leave this huge poll sitting out there for a while, until we figure out our next move.  If you have an idea that’s not listed send us an email to lifesagamble727@gmail.com.

UFC Fight Night Denver: Korean Zombie vs Yair Rodriguez Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC Fight Night Denver.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (FS1, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Chan Sung Jung vs. Yair Rodriguez – Rodriguez won by Knockout in the 5th round.
  • Donald Cerrone vs. Mike Perry – Cerrone won by Submission in the 1st round.
  • Germaine de Randamie vs. Raquel Pennington – de Randamie won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Beneil Dariush vs. Thiago Moises – Dariush won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Maycee Barber vs. Hannah Cifers – Barber won by TKO in the 2nd round.
  • Luis Pena vs. Mike Trizano – Trizano won by Split Decision.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Amanda Cooper vs. Ashley Yoder – Yoder won by sketchy Split Decision.
  • Bobby Moffett vs. Chas Skelly – Moffett won by the referee missing his shift at Arby’s.  Tim Mills should never work in any capacity again.
  • John Gunther vs. Davi Ramos – Ramos won by Submission in the 1st round.
  • Julian Erosa vs. Devonte Smith – Smith won by KO in the 1st round.

EARLY PRELIMS (UFC Fight Pass, 7:00 PM EST)

  • Joseph Morales vs. Eric Shelton – Shelton won by Split Decision.
  • Mark De La Rosa vs. Joby Sanchez – De La Rosa won by Split Decision.

Total 9/12 = 75%

Florida, Vote No on 3 & 13 November 6th.

It’s been a busy few weeks for Tony and I.  On Monday, October 30th, we met with Alexis Winning and Jen Ellis of Derby Lane to get their take on amendments 3 & 13.  In order to get this posted in a timely fashion we posted our entire backlog of podcasts and are now caught up.  Take the next few days to catch up on all of the episodes we posted recently.  Our next episode, 137, will come out on November 6th.  That is also the day of the election which in Florida will decide two ballot amendments that are very important to gamblers.

Amendment 3:  Would prevent the legislature from loosening Florida’s gambling laws.  If there is to be a change in gambling laws it would require a further constitutional amendment.  Amendment 3 would put the Seminoles monopoly in the states constitution.  Racetracks and poker rooms would be allowed to stay open but many games in the poker room would be taken away nearly immediately.

Amendment 13:  Would end live greyhound racing in Florida.  Racetracks would be allowed to take bets on races from other tracks around the country.  Poker rooms and race tracks would be legally separated, meaning if the track closed down, the poker room would not be affected.  8,000 dogs would be homeless with no extra plan or funding from the campaigners to help get them properly situated.  The tracks estimate rehoming all the dogs would cost 6 million dollars and would take longer than the two years that the amendment allows.

Both of these amendments are complete scams and deserve a no vote from anyone who doesn’t want to be a pawn.  First off, 3 claims to be an anti gambling amendment, but it’s second biggest supporter was the Seminole tribe.  They don’t want to stop gambling, they just want to stop their competition, don’t fall for it.  If 3 passes, an estimated $50 million per year would be lost from the states budget, mostly in education.  All to protect a billion dollar companies monopoly.  Vote no!

Amendment 13 is a scam in much the same way.  The groups supporting it (grey2k, HSUS) say it is to protect dogs, but they put no plan in place to deal with the dogs if the tracks are forced to end racing.  Retired racers are adopted at a rate better than 98%.  If the tracks are forced to close with no plan or funding, as 13 is currently worded, many of these dogs could end up in county shelters.  In county shelters, adoption rates are nowhere near 98% and they don’t do the home visits or background checks that greyhound track affiliated groups do.  If you really want what’s best for the dogs, it’s not to be euthanized in a county shelter.  These dogs have loving homes for the rest of their lives.  During their racing career they eat the best food measured to the gram.  They see a vet and are tested before every race.  They are put in whirlpool tubs like the highest paid pro athletes after every race to reduce injuries.  When their racing career is over volunteers use money set aside by the track to successfully put the dogs in happy homes.  These are the best treated dogs in the world and the system should be left to work as it does.  Amendment 13 would take away funding and time for real greyhound adoption.  The people that are for 13 really don’t care about the dogs.  If you care one bit about animals VOTE NO ON 13!  THE DOGS LIVES ARE IN OUR HANDS!  VOTE NO ON 3 & 13!

VOTE NO ON 3 & 13!

VOTE NO ON 3 & 13!

VOTE NO ON 3 & 13!

Our Interview with Alexis and Jennifer

Ballotpedia Information on Amendment 3

Ballotpedia Information on Amendment 13

UFC 230: Cormier vs Lewis Quick Picks

Here are our win predictions for UFC 230.  These are just straight win predictions that do not take into account betting odds.  We might think someone has a 60% chance of winning, but they’re -400.  That would be a terrible bet.  That is not factored in here.  Do not use this as a betting guide.  Predicted winners in bold.

MAIN CARD (PPV, 10:00 PM EST)

  • Daniel Cormier vs. Derrick Lewis – Cormier won by Submission in the 2nd round.
  • Ronaldo Souza vs. Chris Weidman – Souza won by TKO in the 3rd round.
  • David Branch vs. Jared Cannonier – Cannonier won by TKO in the 2nd round.
  • Jack Marshman vs. Karl Roberson – Roberson won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Israel Adesanya vs. Derek Brunson – Adesanya won by TKO in the 1st round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (FS1, 8:00 PM EST)

  • Jason Knight vs. Jordan Rinaldi – Rinaldi won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Sijara Eubanks vs. Roxanne Modafferi – Eubanks won by Unanimous Decision.
  • Julio Arce vs. Sheymon Moraes – Moraes won by Split Decision.
  • Lyman Good vs. Ben Saunders – Good won by KO in the 1st round.

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 6:15 PM EST)

  • Matt Frevola vs. Lando Vannata – Majority Draw.
  • Shane Burgos vs. Kurt Holobaugh – Burgos won by Submission in the 1st round.
  • Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Adam Wieczorek – De Lima won by Unanimous Decision.

Total 6/12 = 50%