I like the over 38 in the Colts/Bills Game.  I’m expecting a score of about 44.  The rest of the over/unders this week look pretty much spot on.

I also like the Packers -3 over the Browns.  The Packers lines seem really undervalued so far this season.  I have the packers winning the game by 4.5.  A line being off by only a point and half doesn’t seem like the one to bet on but the Browns have flown under all possible expectations this season.

I have the Bengals beating the bears by less than 2.5.  The Bears are going off at +6.  Tempting bet here.

Ravens are getting +5 and I actually have them beating the Steelers by just under a point.  The game is @ Steelers and the temperatures are Arctic but I still like this one.

Jets -1.5 over the Broncos also looks tempting.  I have them winning by at least 4.

In order I’d go:

Packers -3 over the Browns.  Lock

Over 38 Colts/Bills.  Lean

Bears + 6 over the Bengals.  Gamblers choice.  Bad on the road, numbers on their side.

Jets -1.5 over the Broncos.  Gamblers choice.  Bad on the road, numbers on their side.

Ravens +5 over the Steelers.  Gamblers choice.  Bad on the road, numbers on their side.

Stick to the first two bets.  Maybe spice it up with whichever gamblers choice you’re feeling.  They’re all on the road in tough spots but their season numbers say they’re good bets.

-Dan

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